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The Next DOS Visa Bulletin!

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  • Mo
    replied
    USCIS Backlog Reduction Plan and Its Impact on Immigrant Visa Cut-Off Dates in the Visa Bulletin

    Source: The Oh Law Firm

    The USCIS has been testing the 90-day I-130/I-485 adjudication for the family-based green card cases and the 90-day I-140/I-485 adjudication for the employment-based green card cases through the so-called Pilot Programs in Dallas and New York for the family cases and California Service Center in the employment-based cases. These Pilot Programs have been undertaken in low key and in silence apparently considering its impact on the November election. Sources indicate that the ongoing Pilot Programs will be wrapped up at the end of September 2004. Evaluation and assessment of the results of the Pilot Programs will obviously dictate the USCIS as to whether it should expand the program nation-wide.

    At this time, the backlog reduction efforts of the USCIS are not too visible even though some local district offices reported the reduction of processing times of the family cases. However, once the backlog reduction plan is in full swing, it will have impact on the progression of the immigrant visa numbers or retrogression of visa numbers in the Visa Bullen. People are reminded the following prediction of the State Department in August 2004 Visa Bulletin: During the past several years, the Citizenship and Immigration Service (CIS) demand for numbers has been low. To compensate for the lack of demand from CIS, the Visa Office advanced the immigrant visa cut-off dates very rapidly to provide sufficient qualified applicants at our overseas posts and permit the maximum use of immigrant visa numbers. Such advances also meant that many thousands of additional applicants became eligible to file for adjustment of status at CIS offices. During recent months, CIS demand for numbers has increased significantly as they have begun to address their backlog situation. This increase in CIS demand for numbers is expected to continue, and immigrant visa cut-off date movement is likely to slow or stop in the Family preference categories. Depending upon the rate at which demand is received, it may become necessary to establish cut-off dates in Employment preference categories.

    Obviously, certain countries will be more vulnerable than other countries when the visa number retrogresses. In the employment-based categories, India and China may be most visibly affected, particularly the EB-3 Skilled Worker Professional or Unskilled Worker classification. Maybe, this is the time for the new employment-based green card applicants to consider the EB-2 options more seriously as by the time they reach the USCIS after completing the labor certification stage, they may face a challenging visa number retrogression or chargeability table coming years ahead.


    I smell bad news... Let's see how bad it turns out to be.

    Leave a comment:


  • Mo
    replied
    The fiscal year starts October 1st, but in this month's visa bulletin... it will forecast October 2004's numbers. Usually the DOS releases a fiscal prediction statement around October every year, on how and what cut-off dates are likely to forward, slow down or retrogress.

    Couple more weeks until the update... until then, the waiting continues.

    Leave a comment:


  • Sunita
    replied
    Guess we are all wondering just like you.I know it's hard to just guess what's gonna happen this month.Some months ago visa bulletin used to become available between the 11 and 13 now it's a week later but what can we do atleast we still have a way to know what's going on with our visa applications.

    Leave a comment:


  • Mo
    replied
    Does anyone know whether the next DOS visa bulletin (October 2004) will be considered under the new fiscal year (FY2005), or not?

    If not, will it be the following month?

    If yes, and considering all the cut-off dates will be aligned back to what they were at the start of FY2004, do they generally move forward due to fresh batch of visa numbers becoming available?

    Thanks.

    Leave a comment:


  • Mo
    started a topic The Next DOS Visa Bulletin!

    The Next DOS Visa Bulletin!

    Does anyone know whether the next DOS visa bulletin (October 2004) will be considered under the new fiscal year (FY2005), or not?

    If not, will it be the following month?

    If yes, and considering all the cut-off dates will be aligned back to what they were at the start of FY2004, do they generally move forward due to fresh batch of visa numbers becoming available?

    Thanks.
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