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Will There Be a November Surprise?

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  • #31
    Aren't you busy with your life?
    Why even care to ask?
    But since you do (and I know you are kidding) , then here is the 4th grade (elementary school) math formula:

    Total number of your posts divided by the number of days passed since you registered will equal to average number of posts you left here per day.

    Now, would you finally say something on topic?

    My opinion (reflected under this thread, along with underlying reason pointing to such conclusion) is that Republicans most likely will maintain control of the Senate, and most certainly will keep the House.
    ___________________________________

    [COLOR:BLUE][B]When the creations of a genius collide with the mind of a layman, and produce an empty sound, there is little doubt as to which is at fault.

    One day it will have to be officially admitted that

    Comment


    • #32
      <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-title">quote:</div><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-content">I think YOU are kidding.
      What about Antifascist and other identities. I bet ya forgot those to take into account? </div></BLOCKQUOTE>

      As you know, 'Antifascist' was suspended (thanks to collective efforts of opponents of Free Speech on this board) before I registered 'ImpenetrablE' , just like 'ImmortalE' was suspended before I registered 'Antifascist' and so on.


      <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-title">quote:</div><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-content">On topic- I think Dems will win both Houses hand over fist and beat Cons once and for all. </div></BLOCKQUOTE>

      WHY do you think so?

      Do you realize how 'National Polls' are NOT reflective of individual Districts where the outcome of House elections will ultimately be decided ?

      Did you bother to look at those Districts where so called "contested" races will take place?

      Did you look ,even briefly, at the social issues, demographics, voting patterns and histroy of those Districts?

      What on earth makes you think that Democrats will win this election in thOse Districts?
      ___________________________________

      [COLOR:BLUE][B]When the creations of a genius collide with the mind of a layman, and produce an empty sound, there is little doubt as to which is at fault.

      One day it will have to be officially admitted that

      Comment


      • #33
        <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-title">quote:</div><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-content">Because of my woman's intuition.
        That's one. </div></BLOCKQUOTE>

        Actually I might bet on it on tradesports.com (I am going to wait when the odds for Reps. reach the lowest point - that's when I might bet that they will retain the House - and surely they will!).

        Intuition that willfully ignores facts on the ground is useless.


        <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-title">quote:</div><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-content">Because people in general are fed up with the war and the state of the economy.
        That's two.
        Enough. </div></BLOCKQUOTE>

        No, that's not enough.
        People whEre?
        In whAt districts people are fed up with whAt?

        If people, let's say, in California's extra-liberal Democratic districts are fed-up with state of economy or war or whatever else and ALREADY have Democratic Representative in House, whAt difference their votes will make?
        Absolutely NONE, they will just re-elect the same guy or elect another person from the same party.

        But how about those so called 'contested' races where 28 or so Republican seats will be 'for grabs'?
        Do you even knOw whAt and whEre thOse districts are?
        Do you knOw whAt the current social issues, dynamics, demographics, voting patterns/electoral history/trends there are?

        Note: I do not dispute the possibility of Democrats picking-up few seats here and there (while also loosing some), but I highly - HIGHLY - doubt their ability to win control of Senate,and I am absolutely most certain that Republicans will retain the control of the House.

        <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-title">quote:</div><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-content">And why was ImmortalE suspended? </div></BLOCKQUOTE>

        I have no interest in feeding your perennial desire for demagoguery
        ___________________________________

        [COLOR:BLUE][B]When the creations of a genius collide with the mind of a layman, and produce an empty sound, there is little doubt as to which is at fault.

        One day it will have to be officially admitted that

        Comment


        • #34
          Courtesy of Reuters/Zogby:
          Democrats have shot at Senate control

          It'll be a close one for sure, but I tend to agree with the above link. Donkey have 6 slim leads of the 7 most vulnerable elephant's seat, the same amount needed to gain majority, while having safe leads on their own vulnerable seats.
          The house is a tad different though.

          Comment


          • #35
            I am serious, I think it's a safe bet to go to www.tradesports.com and bid on House (the offer on HOUSE.GOP.2006 was 26 in the morning and is already 23.4-23.5.
            If you wait longer you may get it for even lower price).


            I myslef will probably bid on it and will update you of the winning results soon !
            ___________________________________

            [COLOR:BLUE][B]When the creations of a genius collide with the mind of a layman, and produce an empty sound, there is little doubt as to which is at fault.

            One day it will have to be officially admitted that

            Comment


            • #36
              As you too well know nickname 'Antifascist' was banned (per collective effort of certain members of ilw.com), and succeded by 'ImpenetrablE'.


              BTW, the wave of fascism & racism in Russia is really bad , since unlike in US they have very corrupted Government and Law Enforcement (particularly on local levels) : number of people of non-slavic appearance get violently murdered without traces of killers ever being found and on top of that many migrants in Russia (unlike many of those in US) are hardened criminals who in fact controll vast segments of Russian criminal underworld, thus greatly contributing to intensifying of the ethnic tension between the locals and immigrants.

              The whole picture is hugely different in Russia and can't really be compared to one in US.

              But tell me, dear Ms. Perennial Demagogue of the Universe, what relevance does "Moscow for Moscow, Russia for Russia" have to our own reality here, especially in the context of this immigration forum?
              Aside from irrelevance, as far as I know, Russia never defended (nor was recognized internationally for defending) ideals of individual freedoms, dignity and rationalism.


              P.S. And whAt Russian holiday was celebrated on November, 4th?
              Perhaps you refer to October Red Revolution that was celebrated on November 8th (due to post-revolutionary change from Orthodox to secular calendar) throughout the Communist rule in former Soviet Union?

              And what particular event from 400 years ago isn't remembered (I assume that, quite naturally, many are forgotten)?
              Could it be crowning of Vasili IV of Russia (the last Rurikid tsar of Russia, 1606-1610)?


              _____________________________________________


              Comment on Topic:

              Republican Party will most (absolutely)certainly retain the control of the House and has extremely slim chances of loosing Senate.
              ___________________________________

              [COLOR:BLUE][B]When the creations of a genius collide with the mind of a layman, and produce an empty sound, there is little doubt as to which is at fault.

              One day it will have to be officially admitted that

              Comment


              • #37
                Woooow from the "November Surprise" to Antifascist....!!! It is always the case....to jump to another subject.

                Comment


                • #38
                  <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-title">quote:</div><div class="ip-ubbcode-quote-content">Originally posted by Ramalotti:
                  Woooow from the "November Surprise" to Antifascist....!!! It is always the case....to jump to another subject. </div></BLOCKQUOTE>
                  Why do you think AF created the strawman argument thread?
                  "Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passion, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence." John Adams on Defense of the boston Massacre

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Iperson for president..ImmortalE is an idiot..please ImmotalE, dont you ever post on this forum again..You have lost all credebility on the upcoming amnesty...

                    Iperson predicts amnesty sometimes next year!!!!!!! ahahahahahaha

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      where a hell is IE????

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Where the hell are you IMPENETRABLE ????

                        Guys, He is shocked. Results are declared long ago and the guy was more confident than the "MOST RESPECTED PRESIDENT" himself for his own party.
                        This gives everyone a lesson,

                        Be positive, don't be over confident and feel ashamed for yourself later, so that you have to hide behind your girlfriend.

                        Man...I feel sorry for this dude. He showed to people how to be confident and forgot about his own identity.

                        Anyway, now it's time for us to guess, think what Democrats will do to help immigrants.

                        Cheers,

                        Chris

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          ха ха !!
                          cut your losses quick Impen !!

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Ah no iperson, you have it wrong. It was "Bush's brain" that thought they would win
                            "What you see in the photograph isn't what you saw at the time. The real skill of photography is organized visual lying."

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              I think it was that elephant who got confused due to the peanut withdrawal syndrome! lol

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                One thing I know, never try predict an election or any other political outcome... chances are you'll end eating your words.

                                Comment

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