Why Trump's deal with Mexico is doomed: Jungles, judges and Democrats

By Nolan Rappaport, opinion contributor







President Donald Trump and the Mexican government have reached an agreement on dealing with the dramatic increase in migrants moving from Central America through Mexico to the United States, a migration that has created a humanitarian and security crisis at our border.

Mexico probably won't be able to provide as much help as Trump is expecting, and their agreement will face serious legal challenges. But Democratic opposition to meaningful border security measures hasn't left the president with any good alternatives.


Agreement

Mexico will use its National Guard to curb irregular migration throughout Mexico, giving priority to its southern border with Guatemala.

The United States will expand the Migrant Protection Protocols (MPP) program across its entire border with Mexico. Undocumented migrants crossing our southern border to seek asylum will be returned to Mexico to wait for a hearing on their asylum claims.

The United States and Mexico also agreed to work on establishing safe third country agreements.

National Guard

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador recently created a 60,000-man National Guard to confront organized crime and curb soaring violence in Mexico. Six-thousand of them have been deployed to secure its southern border with Guatemala.

Todd Bensman has first-hand knowledge of this border from when he was reporting on the human smuggling industry in Guatemala.

Bensman is skeptical about whether the National Guard will be able to secure this 541-mile border: "Smuggling works much like rain water; it will find every leak in your roof and get in."

The smugglers will be able to move migrants across the border in areas that are not heavily patrolled — such as mountainous jungle areas — and they will use ships to carry migrants along the shoreline of the Pacific Ocean to the largely uninhabited Mexican coastline.

Read more at https://thehill.com/opinion/immigrat...-and-democrats

Published originally on The Hill.

Nolan Rappaport was detailed to the House Judiciary Committee as an executive branch immigration law expert for three years. He subsequently served as an immigration counsel for the Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security and Claims for four years. Prior to working on the Judiciary Committee, he wrote decisions for the Board of Immigration Appeals for 20 years. Follow him on Twitter @NolanR1