Stuart Anderson at the National Foundation for American Policy has crunched the numbers and determined that millions of people would succeed in getting legalized under proposals being talked about among House Republicans, but fewer would get green cards, at least for a while. The NFAP estimates that 3 to 4 million people would get green cards using regular paths to citizenship which is important since the House approach is likely to exclude any "special" path to a green card like that contemplated in the Senate bill (S.744). As many as five million would have no obvious path to a green card. Democrats and pro-immigration advocates are probably going to have to make a tough choice - do they demand a solution for everyone up front. Or take a deal that partially helps most, but doesn't offer everyone a permanent solution.

The Report, entitled "A Path to an Agreement?: Analyzing Plans for Legalizing the Unauthorized Immigrant Population" happens to quote me on page 10:
How many people could gain lawful permanent resident status (a green card) under the Goodlatte approach? Without legislative language it is difficult to estimate with precision. However, it is possible a reasonable number of those in the country in unlawful status could eventually gain a green card under the approach. Here is why:

First, inherent in the approach is eliminating or waiving the “3 and 10 year bars” and related impediments that now prevent unauthorized immigrants from immigrating through the legal immigration system. This could be accompanied by a fine or fee, notes immigration attorney Greg Siskind. Every unauthorized immigrant covered would, in Rep. Goodlatte’s words, “be legally present in the United States, able to work anywhere you wanted . . . [and] travel to your home country . . .” Once unauthorized immigrants are “legally present” they could immigrate through the legal immigration system if they fit into a category.