by Chris Musillo

The Department of State’s Visa Bulletin guru, Charlie Oppenheim, hosts monthly meetings with the American Immigration Lawyers Association. Charlie Oppenheim is the Department of State’s Chief of the Control and Reporting Division. He is the officer who is responsible for producing the Visa Bulletin each month.

This month’s Check In With Charlie featured projections for EB-2 and EB-3, which are the most popular categories for readers of this Blog. Here are some of this month’s highlights, along with our analysis:

EB-2 Worldwide. The Worldwide EB-2 should return to current in October and remain there for the rest of this calendar year.

EB-2 India. This category is expected to use the full allotment of visas in September, which may result in the category becoming temporarily unavailable. Charlie hopes to advance the final action date to December 2008 in the 1Q 2018. It may advance into 2009 at some point in late FY2018.

EB-2 and EB-3 China. In FY2018, EB-2 and EB-3 will return to the prior inverted condition where China EB-3 has a smaller retrogression than China EB-3. History tells us that this leads to China EB-3 “downgrades”.

EB-3 Worldwide. This category will remain current or close to current for the foreseeable future.

EB-3 India. This category will advance about one retrogress month by one real calendar month in FY 2018.

EB-3 Philippines. It is not expected that FY2018 will be as positive as FY2017 was to this category. Charlie speculates, and Musillo Unkenholt can confirm based on our internal metrics, that progressions will slow in FY2018. We expect an average of about a 1.5-2-year retrogression in FY 2018.

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