Comment: Retrospective and Prospective Waiting Times
According to the July 2016 Visa Bulletin, the current priority date for the EB3 category for Indians is October 22, 2004. This is a waiting time of approximately 11.5 years! Wait of over a decade for getting a permanent status for someone actively working in the US economy is an exhibit A for our broken immigration system. But the actual situation is much worse than the above numbers. The priority dates published are "retrospective" -- people who got their priority dates 11.5 years ago are eligible now. But the key question is when will people who are getting their priority dates now be eligible for their Permanent Residence, i.e. what are the "prospective" waiting times for EB3 from India

To attempt to project the answer to this question, ILW has plotted the waiting times for EB3 for India from 1992 to the present. Then we project the trends of the lengthening of the waiting times by two methods, linear projection and exponential projection. See our Green Card Waiting Times Projections -- EB2 and EB3 Categories for India To answer the question "In how many years will an Indian with today's priority date for EB3 be able to get his Green Card?" the linear projection answers 249 months, that is over Twenty Years! The answer using exponential projections is much worse. These waiting times well beyond the realm of normal human planning cycles for careers, raising children, and settling in a new country, hence are inhuman to immigrants and consequently unworkable for the US economy in the long run. Comprehensive fix to our broken immigration system is long overdue.

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